Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000094 0.000104 0.000114 0.000127 0.000140 0.000155 0.000172
2026-01-11 0.000079 0.000093 0.000108 0.000127 0.000149 0.000174 0.000206
2026-01-18 0.000068 0.000084 0.000103 0.000127 0.000156 0.000192 0.000239
2026-01-25 0.000060 0.000077 0.000098 0.000126 0.000163 0.000209 0.000272
2026-02-01 0.000053 0.000071 0.000094 0.000126 0.000169 0.000226 0.000308
2026-02-08 0.000047 0.000066 0.000090 0.000124 0.000173 0.000240 0.000340
2026-02-15 0.000043 0.000061 0.000086 0.000124 0.000178 0.000255 0.000374
2026-02-22 0.000039 0.000058 0.000084 0.000124 0.000184 0.000272 0.000413
2026-03-01 0.000036 0.000054 0.000081 0.000122 0.000187 0.000285 0.000446
2026-03-08 0.000034 0.000052 0.000079 0.000124 0.000195 0.000305 0.000492
2026-03-15 0.000031 0.000050 0.000078 0.000124 0.000200 0.000322 0.000534
2026-03-22 0.000029 0.000047 0.000075 0.000123 0.000204 0.000336 0.000574
2026-03-29 0.000028 0.000046 0.000075 0.000125 0.000212 0.000359 0.000631
2026-04-05 0.000026 0.000044 0.000073 0.000125 0.000218 0.000379 0.000683
2026-04-12 0.000024 0.000042 0.000071 0.000125 0.000223 0.000396 0.000732
2026-04-19 0.000023 0.000040 0.000069 0.000124 0.000227 0.000412 0.000782
2026-04-26 0.000021 0.000038 0.000068 0.000124 0.000232 0.000431 0.000839
2026-05-03 0.000020 0.000036 0.000066 0.000123 0.000233 0.000444 0.000884
2026-05-10 0.000019 0.000035 0.000064 0.000122 0.000237 0.000460 0.000938
2026-05-17 0.000018 0.000034 0.000063 0.000122 0.000242 0.000479 0.001001
2026-05-24 0.000017 0.000032 0.000061 0.000121 0.000244 0.000493 0.001052
2026-05-31 0.000016 0.000031 0.000061 0.000122 0.000251 0.000518 0.001132
2026-06-07 0.000015 0.000030 0.000060 0.000122 0.000257 0.000540 0.001203